Updates From News

Kasich leads OH Gov race by 7

July 6, 2010 by gkeller | No Comments

The players are the same, and the numbers haven’t changed.

John Kasich

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the governor’s race in Ohio finds Republican John Kasich with a 47% to 40% lead over incumbent Democrat Ted Strickland – for the second month in a row. Three percent (3%) of Likely Voters in the state prefer some other candidate, and 10% are undecided.

But both major party candidates show a continuing inability to move their vote totals out of the range they’ve been in for months. Kasich earned 47% support to Strickland’s 42% last month.

In April and May, the candidates were basically tied. Prior to that time, Kasich had held modest leads over Strickland. Since December, Kasich’s support has remained in the narrow range of 46% to 49%, while Strickland’s in that same period have fallen in the 38% to 45% range.

Strickland was elected governor in 2006 with 60% of the vote.

Kasich, a former congressman, holds a double-digit lead among male voters, while female voters break essentially even between the two candidates. Voters not affiliated with either party favor the Republican by a 45% to 28% margin.

The economy and jobs continue to be the central issues in a state that has one of the highest unemployment rates in the country. While Republicans focus on job losses while Strickland has been governor., Democrats have countered by citing Kasich’s ties to Wall Street. The Republican has worked as an investment banker since leaving Congress in 2000.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it’s in the news, it’s in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on June 29, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Former Republican Congressman Rob Portman holds a narrow 43% to 39% lead over Democratic Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher in Ohio’s U.S. Senate race.

Sixty percent (60%) of voters in Ohio favor a tough immigration law like Arizona’s in their state, which is a bit higher than support nationally. Twenty-seven percent (27%) oppose such a law, but 12% more are undecided.

Sixty-three percent (63%) of the larger group that favor an Arizona-like law support Kasich. Strickland earns 74% support from those who oppose a law like that in Ohio.

Twenty-two percent (22%) of Ohio voters consider themselves members of the Tea Party movement, compared to 16% nationwide. Sixty-three percent (63%) are not members, but 15% aren’t sure.

Kasich wins 87% of the vote among Tea Party members and the plurality (47%) of those who are not sure. Fifty-four percent (54%) of non-members back Strickland.

Forty-six percent (46%) of Buckeye State voters view the Tea Party movement as good for the country, while 29% say it’s bad for America. This is comparable to views nationally.

Forty-three percent (43%) approve of the job Strickland is doing as governor, but 55% disapprove. This includes 13% who Strongly Approve and 30% who Strongly Disapprove. These findings are unchanged from the previous survey.

Strickland, also a former congressman, is viewed Very Favorably by 14% of voters in the state and Very Unfavorably by 31%. Just seven percent (7%) have no opinion of the current governor.

Twenty-two percent (22%) have a Very Favorable view of Kasich, while 16% regard him Very Unfavorably. But one-in-four voters (25%) don’t know enough about Kasich to express any kind of opinion.

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